Bitcoin vs. S&P 500: historical returns, compared.
Two of the most-searched assets in finance, side by side — on the same window, with the same starting dollar, using real monthly closes. No cherry-picked start dates, no missing drawdowns.
Not enough overlapping history to compare yet — check back after the next monthly refresh.
FAQ
Has Bitcoin outperformed the S&P 500?
Over Bitcoin's full price history, yes — by a wide margin in CAGR terms. Over shorter, more recent windows, the answer flips depending on the start month. The simulator lets you check any window you care about.
Is past performance predictive?
No. Bitcoin's returns are driven by adoption cycles that may or may not repeat. The S&P 500's are driven by U.S. corporate earnings over long periods. Use history to calibrate expectations, not to forecast.
What data is this?
Monthly closes: SPY as an S&P 500 total-return proxy, and CoinGecko month-end USD prices for Bitcoin. See the methodology.